Assume Korea goes hot
1 America and Allies will pulverize North Korea. This has nothing to do with Trump and everything to do with American Military Power
2 Everyone gets this except North Korean power elite
3 China values its trading relationship with the west more than their olde school relationship with North Korea
4 Regime change needs to take out about a thousand North Korean generals. They are maniacs just like their supreme leader and only know one thing
5 America should not occupy North Korea. This will provoke China and to some extent Russia
6 There will be a huge humanitarian crisis in North Korea. Let China take care of it. Chinese prestige will be on showcase
7 Putin will try to exploit America’s distraction. He is active in Ukraine, Venezuela/Cuba, Syria, Baltics. He will not let this opportunity go by.
8 Japan will discard its non militaristic approach and overtly will build military forces. This will distress China.
9 Because China did not take care of it. Trump will blame China and attempt to punish them to satisfy its base
10 China will intervene somewhere else just to show they are a big dog. South China Sea, Singapore, Indian Ocean All guesses are good
George Gutowski writes from a caveat emptor perspective